How this estimate works
Step 1
What it uses
Your GPA and LSAT score, and for each school the numbers it publishes to the ABA: the 25th, 50th and 75th percentile LSAT and GPA of its entering class, the share of applicants it admitted, and what it reports about scholarships. Nothing else about you is used, and your scores stay in your browser.
Step 2
How the estimate is made
For each score we measure how far you are from the school's median, against how spread out that school's class is. Above the median helps, and far above the 75th percentile stops adding. Below the median always hurts, and far below the 25th keeps hurting.
The two positions are blended: LSAT 70% and GPA 30%. A student exactly at both medians starts a bit above the school's overall admit rate, because many applicants sit below the medians, but only a bit at the most selective schools.
No school can show more than its own selectivity allows: at very selective schools the rest of the application decides. For example, the top of the scale is about 46% at Yale and 67% at Harvard, even with perfect numbers.
The estimate becomes a band: Likely is 70% and up, Target is 40% to 69%, Reach is 15% to 39%, and Long shot is under 15%. We show a band and a rough range, never a single exact percent.
The weights and cut-offs are LSAT JET's judgement. They are not fitted to real admission outcomes. The “roughly” range is a fixed-width band around the estimate, not a measured margin of error.
Step 3
Scholarship odds and grants
Scholarship odds start from the share of a school's students who get a grant, then move up or down with how your scores compare to its class. High is 70% and up, Medium is 40% to 69%, and Low is under 40%. If a school's ABA row doesn't report a grant share we say “Not reported.”
The typical grant is a range taken straight from the school's own reported 25th, 50th and 75th percentile amounts for full-time students, per year. We never guess an amount the school didn't report. The data can't tell schools that give only need-based aid apart from schools that give merit aid.
Step 4
What it can't see
Essays, letters of recommendation, work experience, background and diversity factors, early decision, when you apply, residency at public schools, and waitlists. The ABA medians describe students who enrolled, not everyone who was admitted.
It is a rough estimate. It is not a promise, and it is not legal advice or admissions advice.
Step 5
Splitters
A splitter has one number above a school's 75th percentile and the other below its 25th. Results for splitters vary more, so we tag them.
Step 6
Where the numbers come from
ABA Standard 509 disclosures, 2025: the Fall 2025 entering class, with grant figures for 2024–25. Public ABA data. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the ABA.
Spot a number that looks wrong? Email alan@lsatjet.com.